PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 12°C
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 5:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
12°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
39%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
12°C97%
10°C12%
11°C3%
13°C41%
14°C12%
15°C2%
16°C7%
17°C or higher16%
7°C or below0%
8°C0%
9°C0%
12°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°C or higherLost
7°C or belowLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.