PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedAwaiting verified resolution: 44-45°F
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
44-45°F 93.5%+61.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
44-45°F 93.5%+61.5ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$295
Liquidity
$8.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$415
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 26, 10:29 AM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
44-45°F93.5%
42-43°F2.8%
37°F or below1.9%
38-39°F0.9%
40-41°F0.9%
46-47°F0%
48-49°F0%
50-51°F0%
52-53°F0%
54-55°F0%
56°F or higher0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on 28 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.