PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 11°C
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 3:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
11°C100%
10°C0%
12°C1%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C or higher0%
8°C or below0%
9°C0%
11°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
10°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
12°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
13°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
14°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
15°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
16°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
17°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
18°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
8°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
9°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.