PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 21°C or below (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability21°C or below 100%+50.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 10, 26, 4:30 AMJul 12, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
21°C or below100%
22°C0%
23°C17%
24°C4%
25°C3%
31°C or higher0%
27°C0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$9.7kJul 103d of dataJul 12
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.