PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 70-71°F
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 5:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
70-71°F100%
63°F or below0%
64-65°F3%
66-67°F10%
68-69°F0%
72-73°F38%
74-75°F1%
76-77°F5%
78-79°F3%
80-81°F1%
82°F or higher1%
70-71°FWon
Before close: 99% ·
63°F or belowLost
Before close: 1% ·
64-65°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
66-67°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
68-69°FLost
Before close: 1% ·
72-73°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
74-75°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
76-77°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
78-79°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
80-81°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
82°F or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Miami Intl Airport (KMIA) on 24 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Miami Intl Airport (KMIA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
