PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 2:19 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
16°C or below 50%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 23, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Miami+9.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+91.0pt99%
- Washington DC+14.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $188.1K
- 24h Vol
- $176.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°44.1%
- 82° to 83°19.8%
- 78° to 79°17.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.6K
- 24h Vol
- $116.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 84° to 85°39.1%
- 82° to 83°23.6%
- 86° to 87°16.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $41.2K
- 24h Vol
- $37.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°38.7%
- 65° to 66°34.9%
- 69° to 70°21.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.3K
- 24h Vol
- $30.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- 92-93°F+20.0pt40.2%
- 94-95°F+13.5pt25.2%
- 90-91°F-5.0pt17.8%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- 34°C-4.5pt57.3%
- 35°C+13.0pt33%
- 33°C-11.0pt6.8%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 24?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 24?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 25??
- Polymarket prices 16°C or below at 50% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 25? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 25? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.