PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 6°C
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 11:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
6°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
43%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
6°C100%
10°C0%
11°C4%
12°C4%
13°C1%
14°C or higher1%
4°C or below0%
5°C0%
7°C0%
8°C8%
9°C5%
6°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°C or higherLost
4°C or belowLost
5°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on 29 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
