PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
8°C or below 44%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$240.4
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 23, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 23?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+56.0pt99%
- New Orleans+66.0pt99%
- Miami+18.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+50.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-19.0pt1%
- 86° to 87°-27.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+64.0pt95.2%
- 79° to 80°-10.0pt1%
- 75° to 76°-41.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 21, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+94.0pt95.2%
- 70° to 71°-52.0pt1%
- 74° or above1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $176.5K
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 75 F on September 21, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Total Vol
- $106.6K
- 24h Vol
- $106.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?
- 98° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 96° to 97°-25.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-14.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 21, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on September 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23??
- Polymarket prices 8°C or below at 44% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23? is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.