PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
11°C 98%+59.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
11°C 98%+59.5ptMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$298
Liquidity
$17K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$232.4
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 26, 4:31 AM UTCOct 27, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
11°C98%
8°C or below47%
10°C1%
12°C0%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C or higher0%
9°C0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Istanbul Airport (LTFM) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.