PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
26°C 69.8%+13.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$19.6K
Liquidity
$21.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 4:30 AMSep 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 4, 2026?
- New York City+80.0pt99%
- Trenton99%
- New Orleans+76.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $179.8K
- 24h Vol
- $179.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
- 31°C+82.3pt100%
- 23°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 24°C0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
- 31°C+38.5pt100%
- 25°C or below0%
- 26°C0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 33°C+59.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.2pt0%
- 28°C-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 4?
- 22°C+46.5pt91.1%
- 23°C-15.5pt7.9%
- 24°C-3.5pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
- 27°C+95.1pt96%
- 28°C-1.5pt4%
- 24°C or below-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5??
- Polymarket prices 26°C at 70% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5? is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.