PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
84-85°F 54.3%+15.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$35K
Liquidity
$55.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 7:56 AMSep 4, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 4, 2026?
- New York City+80.0pt99%
- Trenton99%
- New Orleans+76.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $179.8K
- 24h Vol
- $179.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
- 31°C+82.3pt100%
- 23°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 24°C0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
- 31°C+38.5pt100%
- 25°C or below0%
- 26°C0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 33°C+59.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.2pt0%
- 28°C-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 4?
- 22°C+46.5pt91.1%
- 23°C-15.5pt7.9%
- 24°C-3.5pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
- 27°C+95.1pt96%
- 28°C-1.5pt4%
- 24°C or below-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on September 4??
- Polymarket prices 84-85°F at 54% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in NYC on September 4? resolve?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 4? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in NYC on September 4? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.