PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
27°C 95.2%+30.1ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.6K
Liquidity
$55.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 27?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 26?
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 1.5% in September 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 24, 2026?
- Denver+34.0pt99%
- Seattle+13.0pt99%
- Phoenix-23.0pt6%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $973.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 24, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+56.0pt95.2%
- 80° to 81°-22.0pt1%
- 86° or above-1.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle98%
- Providence89%
- Denver65%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.6K
- 24h Vol
- $104.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 24, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+76.0pt95.2%
- 80° or above-15.0pt1%
- 78° to 79°-15.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- 62° to 63°+51.0pt95.2%
- 60° to 61°-35.0pt1%
- 58° to 59°-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 25?
- 24°C+70.8pt100%
- 21°C or below-1.9pt0%
- 22°C-5.8pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 25?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 24, 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 25?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
- Hurricane Fay category?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 25?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25??
- Polymarket prices 27°C at 95.2% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.