PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 8:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
7°C 90.7%+63.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
7°C 90.7%+63.0ptMarket quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$152.2
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$168.2
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 4:29 AM UTCOct 29, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
7°C90.7%
6°C9.3%
10°C0%
11°C0%
12°C0%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C or higher0%
5°C or below0%
8°C0%
9°C0%
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Esenboğa Intl Airport (LTAC) on 29 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Esenboğa Intl Airport (LTAC) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.