PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Gero Arias (100%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Gero Arias
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 1:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityGero Arias 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$34.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-43.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Viruzz0%
Gero Arias100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Gero Arias
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall62% match · auto | Low | 99% | — | $187.3K | $128.2K | yesterday | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $34.3K | $0 | 19 hours ago |
Also available on Kalshi
La Velada del Año VI: Gero Arias vs Viruzz
48.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Gero Arias (99%)
+39.0pt99%
-48.0pt1%
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$188.9K
24h Vol$187.3K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Viruzz" if Viruzz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gero Arias, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Gero Arias" if Gero Arias is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Viruzz or Gero Arias does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$34.3kJul 1314d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Viruzz" if Viruzz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gero Arias, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Gero Arias" if Gero Arias is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Viruzz or Gero Arias does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.