PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Aguirre (100%)
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, 10:54 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aguirre
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
81%
ConsensusSettlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Aguirre
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 11:14 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityAguirre 100%+0.2pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$34.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.7% / 99.9%
Spread
0.2 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+27.3 pts
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Aguirre100%
Edul0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Aguirre
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall72% match · auto | Low | 99% | — | $246.5K | $167.2K | yesterday | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $34.3K | $0 | 20 hours ago |
Also available on Kalshi
La Velada del Año VI: Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul
40.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Edu Aguirre (99%)
+37.0pt98%
-40.0pt2%
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$248.5K
24h Vol$246.5K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Aguirre" if Edu Aguirre is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gastón Edul, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Edul" if Gastón Edul is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Edu Aguirre or Gastón Edul does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.3k99.9%POLYMARKETLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul — Aguirredjokowin2d ago
POLYMARKETLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul — Aguirredjokowin2d agoVolume trend
$34.3kJul 816d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Aguirre" if Edu Aguirre is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gastón Edul, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI.
- It will resolve to "Edul" if Gastón Edul is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50".
- If either Edu Aguirre or Gastón Edul does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.