JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Dec 24, 2023, 4:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 19, 23, 5:54 PMDec 23, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the most COVID-19 cases by proportion in the United States according to CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Nowcast Estimates in the United States for 12/23/23 as soon as released (% Total column in graph here https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions).
- This market will resolve based on the initial information release by the CDC regardless of later information updates.
- If the CDC stops reporting figures for COVID-19 or ceases to utilize the Nowcast before the end of this market, it will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? resolve?
- JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? is scheduled to resolve on December 23, 2023.
- How is JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the most COVID-19 cases by proportion in the United States according to CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23).