JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Dec 24, 2023, 4:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the most COVID-19 cases by proportion in the United States according to CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Nowcast Estimates in the United States for 12/23/23 as soon as released (% Total column in graph here https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions).
- This market will resolve based on the initial information release by the CDC regardless of later information updates.
- If the CDC stops reporting figures for COVID-19 or ceases to utilize the Nowcast before the end of this market, it will resolve 50-50.