Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2024, 8:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleFeb 16, 24, 6:22 PMFeb 23, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by February 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? resolve?
- Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? is scheduled to resolve on February 23, 2024.
- How is Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if by February 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah.