Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2024, 8:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by February 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.