When does Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? resolve?

Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.

Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Dec 19, 2023, 1:04 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 179 days ago

Stale

Nov 28, 23, 5:22 PM UTCDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

Won

Lost

Rules

On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by December 31, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.