Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Dec 19, 2023, 1:04 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 28, 23, 5:22 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by December 31, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? resolve?
- Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
- How is Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.