How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 8M to less than 10M
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
8M to less than 10M 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleApr 13, 21, 12:00 AMMay 1, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Less than 8M0%
8M to less than 10M100%
10M to less than 15M0%
15M to less than 20M0%
20M or more0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This is a market on the Johnson & Johnson/Janssen COVID-19 vaccine rollout, which was paused after FDA and CDC recommendations on April 13, 2021.
- This is a market on the total number of J&J/Janssen COVID-19 vaccines doses that will have been administered by May 1, 2021, 8:00 PM EST, the market resolution date.
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s account of the total number of J&J/Janssen COVID-19 vaccines doses administered, as displayed on the CDC COVID Data Tracker Dashboard in the chart which tracks “U.S. COVID-19 Vaccine Administration by Vaccine Type” (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations).
- On the resolution date, the CDC Data Tracker will be checked and the bracket which contains the total number of J&J/Janssen COVID-19 vaccines doses administered will be the bracket this market resolves to.
- This market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date.