PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 15°C
Resolved: Sep 19, 2026, 12:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 19, 2026, 12:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
15°C 100%+94.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$34.4K
Liquidity
$239.8K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingSep 17, 26, 4:56 AM UTCSep 19, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
15°C98%
16°C0%
17°C0%
14°C8%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
