PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
8°C 37%+6.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$73
Liquidity
$12.1K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 4:29 AM UTCSep 20, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
PolymarketLowest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 65 F on September 19, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 19, 2026?
- Minneapolis+48.0pt99%
- Chicago+14.0pt99%
- Milwaukee+9.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.5K
- 24h Vol
- $110.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 19, 2026?
- 77° or below47.7%
- 78° to 79°36.5%
- 80° to 81°13.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $69.5K
- 24h Vol
- $68.8K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
- 14°C+45.0pt73%
- 15°C-32.5pt25%
- 16°C-15.0pt1%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHILowest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 56° or below46%
- 63° to 64°30%
- 61° to 62°5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.4K
- 24h Vol
- $35.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 71° to 72°53.5%
- 69° to 70°30.7%
- 73° to 74°9.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32.5K
- 24h Vol
- $32.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 19, 2026?
- 94° to 95°51.8%
- 92° to 93°22.7%
- 96° to 97°11.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32K
- 24h Vol
- $32K
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 20?
- Rain in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 20?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 20??
- Polymarket prices 8°C at 37% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 20? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 20? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 20? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.