PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 13, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
19°C · —
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Stored reference
19°C 50%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
19°C 50%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$41.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.9K
Bid / Ask
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19°CSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 12, 26, 5:56 AM UTCNov 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 19°C
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Tokyo (HND)(RJTT) exceed 18 C on November 14, 2026? (maximum) (max)?
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KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Nov 13, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on 14 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.