Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?

54.5% (24h)WeatherDaily

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market resolved: 26°C (100%)

Current implied probability

26°C 100%+54.5%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$31.4K

Liquidity

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jun 14, 26, 4:42 AMJun 16, 26, 12:00 PM

Probability Timeline

25°C18%

24°C2%

29°C2%

26°C100%

28°C5%

27°C33%

23°C1%

Outcome24hChance

26°C

+54.5%

100%

21°C or below

22°C

23°C

24°C

-2.6%

25°C

-7.0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Global Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

$731.7

June 2026 less than 1.095C: 3.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,789.99+1.15%

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SolanaSOL$73.40-1.06%

XRPXRP$1.21-1.78%

BNBBNB$607.02-1.34%

DogecoinDOGE$0.087-0.70%

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?

54.5% (24h)WeatherDaily

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market resolved: 26°C (100%)

Current implied probability

26°C 100%+54.5%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$31.4K

Liquidity

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jun 14, 26, 4:42 AMJun 16, 26, 12:00 PM

Probability Timeline

25°C18%

24°C2%

29°C2%

26°C100%

28°C5%

27°C33%

23°C1%

Outcome24hChance

26°C

+54.5%

100%

21°C or below

22°C

23°C

24°C

-2.6%

25°C

-7.0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Related Markets

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$198.3K

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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 17?

$176.7K

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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 17?

$105.7K

29°C: 66%

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Highest temperature in LA on Jun 16, 2026?

$5K

75° or above: 1%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in LA on Jun 17, 2026?

$935.8

75° or above: 4%

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Global Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

$731.7

June 2026 less than 1.095C: 3.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,789.99+1.15%

BitcoinBTC$65,607.00-1.19%

SolanaSOL$73.40-1.06%

XRPXRP$1.21-1.78%

BNBBNB$607.02-1.34%

DogecoinDOGE$0.087-0.70%

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.