PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 32°C
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 4:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
32°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
42%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
32°C100%
26°C or below1%
27°C5%
28°C2%
29°C10%
30°C11%
31°C0%
33°C0%
34°C0%
35°C1%
36°C or higher1%
32°CWon
26°C or belowLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°CLost
31°CLost
33°CLost
34°CLost
35°CLost
36°C or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
- This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
