PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 34°C
Resolved: Oct 18, 2026, 4:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
34°C67%
28°C or below0%
29°C0%
30°C1%
31°C2%
32°C2%
33°C13%
35°C0%
36°C4%
37°C1%
38°C or higher1%
34°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
28°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
29°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
30°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
31°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
32°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
33°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
35°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
36°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
37°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
38°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
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PolymarketWhere will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
- This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.