PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 56-57°F
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 8:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
56-57°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
18%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 10:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
50-51°F1%
52-53°F12%
54-55°F71%
56-57°F98%
58-59°F1%
64-65°F0%
56-57°FWon
47°F or belowLost
48-49°FLost
50-51°FLost
52-53°FLost
54-55°FLost
58-59°FLost
60-61°FLost
62-63°FLost
64-65°FLost
66°F or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
