PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability92-93°F 37%-7.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.9K
Liquidity
$46.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:02 AMJul 22, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92-93°F37%
Compare venues· 92-93°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 37% | — | $10.9K | $46.2K | 11 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | High | 44% | — | $9K | $7.3K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 22, 2026?
1d
44%
27%
20%
+3 more outcomes
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9K
24h Vol$9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$10.9kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.