Current implied probability
92° to 93° 43%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
2.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 2:00 PMJul 23, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92° to 93°43%
Compare venues· 92° to 93°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | High | 37% | — | $11.4K | $57.5K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | High | 43% | — | $8.7K | $7.1K | 11 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 22?
6h
-6.0%37%
+5.0%27%
23%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$15.4K
24h Vol$11.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 92° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$8.7kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 92° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.