PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 21°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 3:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
21°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
17%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
21°C99%
22°C1%
24°C18%
20°C12%
23°C17%
25°C3%
18°C0%
27°C or higher0%
21°CWon
17°C or belowLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°CLost
26°CLost
27°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) on 25 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.