PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 24°C
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 6:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
24°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
95%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
24°C99%
26°C4%
25°C0%
27°C or higher1%
23°C0%
19°C0%
22°C0%
21°C0%
24°CWon
17°C or belowLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
25°CLost
26°CLost
27°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.