PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 68-69°F
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 8:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
68-69°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
13%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
66-67°F67%
64-65°F23%
68-69°F99%
70-71°F1%
58-59°F0%
68-69°FWon
53°F or belowLost
54-55°FLost
56-57°FLost
58-59°FLost
60-61°FLost
62-63°FLost
64-65°FLost
66-67°FLost
70-71°FLost
72°F or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on 26 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
