PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 62-63°F
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 6:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
62-63°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
43%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
62-63°F100%
64-65°F3%
60-61°F3%
68-69°F7%
66-67°F7%
57°F or below0%
62-63°FWon
57°F or belowLost
58-59°FLost
60-61°FLost
64-65°FLost
66-67°FLost
68-69°FLost
70-71°FLost
72-73°FLost
74-75°FLost
76°F or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
