PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability78-79°F 51%+7.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.9K
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 15, 26, 1:32 AMJun 16, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
78-79°F51%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 16, 2026?
16h
4%
49%
5%
+3 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$652.2
24h Vol$643.6
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.