PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability82-83°F 48%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$41.2K
Liquidity
$55.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.4%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:02 AMJul 8, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
82-83°F48%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 7, 2026?
14.0%3h
+14.0%99%
-14.0%1%
-1.0%1%
+3 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$73.3K
24h Vol$52.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$41.2kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.