PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability98-99°F 37%+5.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$29.6K
Liquidity
$55.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 38.0%
Spread
8.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 3, 26, 1:02 AMJul 4, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98-99°F37%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 3, 2026?
51.0%2h
-51.0%1%
+68.0%99%
-2.0%1%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$326K
24h Vol$306.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.