Current implied probability
90° to 91° 99%+71.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$200K
Liquidity
$121.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 2:00 PMJul 4, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
90° to 91°99%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Miami on July 4?
20.0%8h
-14.0%49%
+20.0%30%
18%
+8 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$17.7K
24h Vol$16.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 88°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 88°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.