PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 34°C
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 4:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
34°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
9%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
34°C100%
27°C or below0%
28°C0%
29°C1%
30°C2%
31°C5%
32°C30%
33°C45%
35°C1%
36°C0%
37°C or higher0%
34°CWon
27°C or belowLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°CLost
31°CLost
32°CLost
33°CLost
35°CLost
36°CLost
37°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Ninoy Aquino International Airport (RPLL) on 31 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Ninoy Aquino International Airport (RPLL) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.