PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
37°C 48.1%+16.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21.5K
Liquidity
$54.6K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 4:57 AMSep 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 4, 2026?
- New York City+80.0pt99%
- Trenton99%
- New Orleans+76.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $179.8K
- 24h Vol
- $179.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
- 31°C+82.3pt100%
- 23°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 24°C0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
- 31°C+38.5pt100%
- 25°C or below0%
- 26°C0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
- 33°C+59.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.2pt0%
- 28°C-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 4?
- 22°C+46.5pt91.1%
- 23°C-15.5pt7.9%
- 24°C-3.5pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
- 27°C+95.1pt96%
- 28°C-1.5pt4%
- 24°C or below-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 4?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5??
- Polymarket prices 37°C at 48% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5? is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.