PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 23°C
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 11:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
23°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
57%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
23°C100%
22°C29%
24°C0%
21°C2%
16°C or below0%
17°C0%
18°C0%
23°CWon
16°C or belowLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
24°CLost
25°CLost
26°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on 28 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
