PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability94-95°F 54%-4.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$19.2K
Liquidity
$51.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 55.0%
Spread
5.8%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 3, 26, 1:03 AMJul 4, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
94-95°F54%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 3, 2026?
90.0%2h
+90.0%99%
-7.0%1%
-54.0%1%
+3 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$74.1K
24h Vol$70.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.