PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability34°C 100%+56.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$92.1K
Liquidity
$136.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 4:03 AMJul 12, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
34°C100%
Volume trend
$92.1kJul 104d of dataJul 13
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.