PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedAwaiting verified resolution: 30°C
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
30°C 100%+96.2ptLeader of 11 outcomes
30°C 100%+96.2ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$37.2K
Liquidity
$68.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$13.3K
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 4:58 AM UTCOct 29, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
30°C52%
27°C0%
28°C2%
29°C20%
31°C28%
33°C2%
34°C2%
32°C6%
26°C or below0%
30°C100%
26°C or below0%
27°C0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
31°C0%
32°C0%
33°C0%
34°C0%
35°C0%
36°C or higher0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on 29 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.