Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 12?

78.0% (24h)WeatherDaily

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 39°C (100%)

Awaiting verified resolution

CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.

Current implied probability

39°C 100%+78.0%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$44.8K

Liquidity

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jul 10, 26, 4:04 AMJul 12, 26, 12:00 PM

Probability Timeline

39°C100%

36°C3%

38°C50%

37°C18%

40°C0%

41°C or higher2%

31°C or below0%

32°C0%

33°C0%

Outcome24hChance

39°C

+78.0%

100%

31°C or below

32°C

33°C

-0.1%

34°C

-0.5%

35°C

-2.9%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Volume trend

$44.8k

Jul 103d of dataJul 12

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Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.