PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability80-81°F 55.8%+9.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13.3K
Liquidity
$28.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.7%
Spread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:02 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
80-81°F53%
Compare venues· 80-81°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 29, 2026?
21h
46.6%
36.9%
10.7%
+3 more outcomes
59 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10K
24h Vol$9.9K
KALSHI
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 29, 2026?
19h
50.5%
34.7%
11.2%
+2 more outcomes
35 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$55
24h Vol$55
GEMINIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$13.3kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.