PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 17°C
Resolved: Nov 3, 2026, 4:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
17°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
13%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 9:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
17°C100%
15°C or below2%
16°C10%
18°C42%
19°C35%
20°C13%
21°C7%
22°C1%
23°C1%
24°C1%
25°C or higher0%
17°CWon
15°C or belowLost
16°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°C or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU) on 3 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.