PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 86-87°F
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 6:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
86-87°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
86-87°F100%
82-83°F1%
88-89°F0%
84-85°F30%
75°F or below0%
76-77°F0%
86-87°FWon
75°F or belowLost
76-77°FLost
78-79°FLost
80-81°FLost
82-83°FLost
84-85°FLost
88-89°FLost
90-91°FLost
92-93°FLost
94°F or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on 23 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
