PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
84-85°F 33%+7.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
84-85°F 33%+7.5ptMarket quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$37.1K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 7:56 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Austin on October 2?
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PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Austin on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) exceed 93 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 1, 2026? · 86° or below 52%