PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability98-99°F 52.9%+14.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$39.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 7:03 AMJul 27, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98-99°F54%
Compare venues· 98-99°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 54% | — | $8K | $39.3K | 7 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active84% match · auto | Medium | 64% | — | $9.4K | $8.6K | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 27, 2026?
21h
61.5%
21.1%
12.5%
+3 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.4K
24h Vol$9.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$8.0kJul 262d of dataJul 27
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.