PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability96-97°F 52%+5.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.2K
Liquidity
$30.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 36.0%
Spread
9.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 25, 26, 1:04 AMJul 26, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96-97°F52%
Compare venues· 96-97°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 52% | — | $12.2K | $30.5K | 13 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 58% | — | $7.6K | $7K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 26, 2026?
21h
58%
42%
3%
+3 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.6K
24h Vol$7.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHI95° or below — No5h ago
KALSHI95° or below — No5h agoVolume trend
$12.2kJul 252d of dataJul 26
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.