PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability92-93°F 39%+20.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.5K
Liquidity
$42.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.1%
Spread
110.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 1:03 AMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92-93°F39%
Compare venues· 92-93°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 39% | — | $12.5K | $42.6K | 19 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Low | 40% | — | $2.6K | $2.1K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 13, 2026?
1d
1%
37%
18%
+3 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$2.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$12.5kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.